Decision Models Simplified

Price range: $49 through $149

New release, October 2026

How to make good decisions under pressure, explained framework by framework, one method at a time.

  • Frame the decision properly before you start comparing any of the options
  • Score options with weighted criteria, decision trees and expected value
  • Account for risk and uncertainty without freezing or guessing at the answer
  • Explain the decision clearly so the people around you back it and act on it

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Description

About Decision Models Simplified

Whether you are a manager, a founder or an analyst, this book gives you the methods to decide well under pressure.

It covers decision making from framing the choice to defending it, one framework per chapter, each with a diagram, a worked example and a worksheet.

It follows the same method as every Business in Brief book, so each title makes the others more useful.

“Whenever Toyota defines a specification, it is establishing a hypothesis that is then tested through action.”H. Kent Bowen and Steven Spear, 1999 · Consulting Management Simplified, ch. 35

“Every time you see a 50-page work plan that stretches out to three months, you know it’s wrong.”Charles Conn, 2019 · Consulting Management Simplified, ch. 3

“A good decision executed well often beats a brilliant one implemented poorly.”Paul Rogers and Marcia Blenko, 2006 · Consulting Management Simplified, ch. 31

“All products eventually become either cash cows or pets.”Bruce Henderson, 1970 · Consulting Management Simplified, ch. 17

Harvard Business Review
McKinsey & Company
Bain & Company
Boston Consulting Group

Table of contents

    Part 1: Frame the Decision
  1. What Makes a Decision Hard
  2. Framing the Real Question
  3. One-Way and Two-Way Doors
  4. Who Decides: RAPID and RACI
  5. Setting Decision Criteria
  6. Part 2: Generate Options

  7. Never Choose Between Only Two Options
  8. Brainstorming With Structure
  9. Issue Trees for Decisions
  10. Screening Options Fast
  11. The Status Quo as an Option
  12. Part 3: Compare the Options

  13. Pros and Cons, Done Properly
  14. The Weighted Decision Matrix
  15. Cost-Benefit Analysis
  16. The Eisenhower Matrix
  17. Pairwise Comparison and AHP
  18. Part 4: Deal With Uncertainty

  19. Decision Trees
  20. Expected Value
  21. Scenario Planning
  22. Sensitivity Analysis
  23. Real Options: Keeping Doors Open
  24. Part 5: Avoid the Traps

  25. The Biases That Wreck Decisions
  26. Confirmation Bias and the Devil's Advocate
  27. Sunk Costs and Loss Aversion
  28. The Pre-Mortem
  29. Groupthink and How to Break It
  30. Part 6: Decide Fast and in Groups

  31. The OODA Loop
  32. Cynefin: Matching the Method to the Situation
  33. Consensus, Consent or Command
  34. The Delphi Method
  35. Deciding Under Time Pressure
  36. Part 7: Make It Stick

  37. The Decision Memo
  38. Explaining the Decision So People Back It
  39. Decision Logs and Reviews
  40. Knowing When to Revisit a Decision
  41. Your Personal Decision Toolkit

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Purchase optionsAll 7 eBooks, Single eBook Purchase